TaxIntellilytics Stories
p. 001Est. 2026

Tax, told through data.

Independent data stories, research and visual investigations into how tax systems work.

p. 002Contents

In this issue

Contents

I

Stories

Investigations, told in full
p. 003Flagship story
I

Featured story

Flagship

The Gospel of Tax!

Uganda's Tax Universe, FY2015/16 to FY2024/25

An interactive data-journalism investigation into a decade inside Uganda's revenue system, built entirely on URA's own published data, from the border to the payroll, told through a scrolling narrative, 3D scenes and a full evidence trail.

Enter the story →

At a glance

2.8×
growth in collections
5.8×
growth in taxpayers
12.2%
compound growth
p. 004Recurring
II

Recurring publication

The Tax Month

Uganda's tax data, explained every month.

October 2026

Can Uganda tax what it can't see?

UN member states are negotiating proposed rules for taxing cross-border services. Uganda already has a domestic answer for some of those payments. What would it take to see the rest?

Read the issue →
p. 005Standalone story
III

Standalone story · Gender and tax

Are women more tax compliant than men?

How would we know? A stage-by-stage look at Uganda's tax administration data, built on research by Jalia Kangave, Ronald Waiswa and Nathan Sebaggala (ICTD African Tax Administration Paper 23).

Read the story →
  • 30% of individuals on the register are women.
  • 24.4% of women filed a return at least once, against 14.2% of men (FY2013/14 to FY2017/18).
  • The paper's data stops at the liability and assessment steps; the story says so.
p. 006Standalone story
IV

Standalone story · Fiscal Intelligence and Reform Lab

The Road to a 20% Tax-to-GDP Ratio

Uganda's target of tax at 20% of GDP by FY2029/30, drawn as a road survey: which 20%, how steep the climb is against the record, what the government's own plans and measures add, and what changes once oil flows.

Survey the road →
  • Shs 13,880 of every Shs 100,000 the economy produces is collected as tax today; the target is Shs 20,000.
  • 20% needs +1.22 points a year; the past decade managed +0.30.
  • The plans themselves project 17.0% to 17.8% for tax. 20% is reached only if every generous assumption is stacked and oil revenue is counted as tax.
p. 007Research
V

Research · Fiscal Intelligence and Reform Lab

The Dispatch Book

What happened to the recommendations made about Uganda's tax system? Each one traced like a file through a government office: a stamp for every dated document, an empty box where there is none.

Open the book →
  • 36 recommendations from 8 authors: the World Bank, the IMF, researchers and the government's own strategy.
  • 30 of them (83%) show no public evidence of any action.
  • 6 became law, 2 of them before they were recommended; none is yet shown to have worked.
p. 008Research
VI

Research · Fiscal Intelligence and Reform Lab

The Shortfall That Isn't

Uganda's tax has seasons; its monthly targets don't. A revenue weather station reads the monthly figures, forecasts the rest of the year with a tested range, and says which shortfalls are the season and which deserve a second look.

Read the station →
  • FY2026/27: 3 of 3 months so far inside the range forecast in July.
  • On average June brings 12.3% of a year's tax, the most of any month: the law puts provisional corporate tax in December and June.
  • A forecast you can check: every month scored against what came in, 132 months tested without hindsight.
p. 009Interactive
VII

Interactive ride · Fiscal Intelligence and Reform Lab

Every Stage Has a Fare

Paying tax in Uganda as a taxi ride through a 3D Kampala, from the Old Taxi Park to URA House. Choose who is riding: every stage the law requires, the 30% toll before an objection is heard, and what complying costs them.

Take the ride →
  • 21 stages on three routes; 18 required by a section we have read and quote.
  • The median firm spends UGX 3m a year complying, about 2% of turnover; the smallest, over 20%.
  • A nil return still costs a median UGX 2.76m a year to file.
p. 010History
VIII

Interactive history · From the oldest tales to now

Omusolo: What did you carry?

Before tax was a number it was something you made, caught or dug. One load carried through every age: a hoe, salt, a tusk, a cowry that opens into a holed cent, a banknote losing its ink, a till roll and a phone.

Carry it →
  • Two tales: a cold comb in Buganda, and an ant hill in Acholi.
  • In 1980 the state collected less per person, in days of work, than in 1906.
  • Every claim labelled by how far it goes, from folk tale to official record.
p. 011Casebook
IX

Interactive registry · The Casebook

The Registry

Forty-seven decided Ugandan tax disputes on a wall of pigeonholes: a file's thickness is the sum at stake, its tape who the ruling went for. Pull one down and untie it, refile the wall, or rule on fourteen of them yourself.

Walk the wall →
  • 47 rulings of the Tax Appeals Tribunal and the courts, each with its sources.
  • 14 disputes to decide yourself, both sides stated, then the ruling.
  • A selected collection, not a win rate: 30 come from the Revenue Authority's own digest.
p. 012Observatory
X

Explore the data

The Tax Data Observatory

The public dataset behind every story: explorable, downloadable and citable.

Open the Observatory →
  • 14 datasets
  • 1,234 indicators
  • 10,271 observations
p. 013Africa
XI

Beyond Uganda

African Tax Observatory

Uganda inside the continent: an atlas of tax for every ATAF member, with a sheet for each country, the Taxscape scroll story, and a wire that checks the Databank every six hours.

Open the atlas →
  • 44 tax administrations, 2010 to 2025, from the ATAF Databank.
  • The median member collected 14.3% of GDP in tax in 2024.
  • Uganda: 12.6%, 26 of 38.
  • Country sheets that print as briefs, a comparison tool, the Taxscape scroll story, citations for Edition 1 and every number as CSV.
p. 014Tax Lab
XII

Format · Tax Lab

Tax Lab

Experimental analysis and research notes.

Open Tax Lab →
  • 18 prototypes catalogued, each marked by whether its data is real or synthetic.
  • 18 already run as interactive pages: budget credibility, fiscal stress test, Pillar Two GloBE, presumptive tax, tax expenditure.
  • Nothing in the lab is presented as a finding about Uganda.
p. 015Tax Maps
XIII

Format · Tax Maps

Tax Maps

Geographic tax and economic stories.

Open Tax Maps →
  • The Border Ledger: Uganda's non-fuel imports and exports with its largest partners, FY2014/15 to FY2024/25, on a globe and in an explorer.
  • Uganda bought UGX 65.0 trillion of non-fuel goods from its 50 largest suppliers in FY2024/25 and sold UGX 35.9 trillion to its 50 largest buyers: 1.8 shillings in for every shilling out.
  • District by district: URA's registration counts on the real boundaries; district revenue is not shown until a verified dataset exists.
p. 016Tax Explained
XIV

Format · Tax Explained

Tax Explained

Short, sourced explanations of tax concepts.

Open Tax Explained →
  • 2 explainers published so far, each in the same four parts: legal definition, plain language, example and interpretation.
  • Withholding tax on cross-border payments
  • Source vs. residence taxation
  • Each explainer closes with the exact statutory citations it rests on.
p. 017Trust
XV

Trust

How we work

Every figure traces back to a named source and a reproducible calculation. We correct the record in public when we get something wrong.

Read the full policy →
  • We keep what the data shows, what we calculate from it, and our own interpretation apart.
  • Every story names its sources and publishes its calculations.